Wednesday, September 21, 2011

College Football Thursday/Friday Primetime Games




Thursday Night

Match-Up: North Carolina St. +8 at Cincinnati

Analysis: The Bearcats are averaging 51 points per game, scoring 72 against Austin Peay and 59 against Akron, not exactly powerhouses, while losing 45-23 to Tennessee. Cincy has a balanced attack, and plenty of offensive weapons. NC St. is also 2-1 with wins against Liberty and South Alabama, and a loss to Wake Forest. Neither team has a quality win, so tough to judge the outcome of this one. NC. St comes in with a ton of injuries of Defense, which could be the difference in this game with Cincy having the ability to put up points. This one may be best to look at statistical trends, Cincy 0-5 against the spread vs. teams with a winning record and 0-4 their last 4 as a 3.5 to 10 point favorite. NC St. is 3-0-1 their last 4 against the spread on the road as a 3.5 to 10 point underdog.

The Pick: NC St. +8

Friday Night




Match-Up: Central Florida +3 at BYU Cougars

Analysis: BYU really disappointed me last week in a 54-10 loss to Utah, coming off a week when they should have beaten Texas, so inconsistency here. Central Florida comes in un-tested with a 62-0 win against Charleston Southern, and 30-3 against Boston College, and a 17-10 loss to Florida International. BYU is the more talented team, and should have a chip on its shoulder after that loss to Utah with 7 turnovers, so expect them to bounce back at home. Central Florida is 13-3 against the spread its last 16 on the road, while BYU is 0-4 against the spread their last 4 Friday games, but 6-2 against the spread in non-conference games.

The Pick: BYU -3 (Fool me Once....I'll see if they fool me again)

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