The Line: LSU -3.5 at Miss. St
Over/Under 50
The Breakdown: LSU comes into Miss. St just a 4.5 point favorite as the #3 ranked team in the country playing the #25 team. LSU is coming off of an impressive week 1 debit against Oregon, and had an easy game last week against Northwestern St. Miss. St is coming in after losing to Auburn, failing to punch it in at the goal-line on the last play of the game, a heart breaking defeat.
LSU has one of the best defenses in the country, and they will need it with Miss. St. having Relf at QB and Ballard a stud running back. LSU has not really put up big offensive numbers, but Miss. St. gave up 150 on the ground to Auburn's Dyer last week. Miss. St is also lacking much of a receiving threat, so expect LSU to key in on Ballard and try to take him away, and things could get ugly if they shut him down.
The Line in this game is clearly factoring in the homefield advantage and the typical SEC close game, but I think the short week has more of an impact off Miss. St that is coming off a battle against Auburn.
LSU is still without starting QB Jefferson and WR Shepard due to NCAA violations, which is sure to make this one tougher. However, Miss. St could be without its starting Center and Left Tackle, and that is a big deal.
Grey Matter Stats, a great resource for betting analysis and statistics is calculating Miss. St. to cover and the Under.
My Pick: LSU -3.5 (Seeing -3.5 Most Sports Books) - I see injuries and the short week making this a tough one for Miss. St, and the match-up favors LSU's Offense against Miss. St's Defense
As for the Over/Under I would lean to the Under, a final score LSU 27 and Miss. St 21
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