Thursday, November 17, 2011

NFL Thursday: Jets and Broncos

The Line: Jets -6 at Broncos (Opened at -5 and was down to -4)

Analysis: The Jets have struggled on the road and coming off a thrashing by the Pats, but head to face Tebow's Broncos that are on a small winning streak, although last week the Broncos only called 8 passing plays. The Broncos will have zero success passing and Ryan's Defense should be able to contain Tebow and hold them to 10 points or fewer. Offensively the Jets are without LT, but look for Sanchez to have some success against a vulnerable Broncos D.

Trends: Jets are just 1-4 ATS last 5 on road, but 5-0 as road favorites. Broncos are 1-8-1 ATS last 10 after an ATS win. The Over is a heavy statistical trend for this one as well.

The Pick: Jets -6 - NY will bounce back strong and needs this one to stay alive, and will expose Tebow, who will be unable to move the ball against the Jets D

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