Game: Oregon -9 at Arizona St, O/U 68.5, 9pm on 10-18-12
Analysis: The
3rd ranked Ducks are on the road for a Thursday Night game and looking to go
7-0 on the year, and yet to play a close game.
Oregon ranks 4th in the Nation in rushing and 2nd in scoring at 52 points
per game. However, a Freshman QB on the
road in a short week could give ASU some hope to pull off the upset. ASU is 5-1 and Kelly has looked great at QB,
and they also have the Nation's 4th ranked pass defense and only allowing 14
points per game.
Line
Movement: Opened -10.5 and 76% of Public
Bets Oregon Yet Line Down to 8, so Sharp $ on ASU at 10.5 to 9
Bet
Trends: Ducks are
4-1 ATS lat 5 road games, but just 2-5 ATS last 7 Thursday games. Sun Devils are 5-1 ATS last 6 overall and
13-6-1 ATS last 20 home games. The Ducks are 5-1-1 ATS last 7 vs. ASU and
the home team is 3-1-1 ATS last 5 meetings.
The Pick: ASU +10 @ 1 Unit (If Spread Comes Back Up to 10)
Predicted
Score: Oregon 45 /
ASU 38
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