Wednesday, October 10, 2012

Thursday Night NFL Preview and Pick


Game: Steelers -6 at Titans, O/U 42, 8:20pm on 10/11

Analysis: The Steelers pulled out a big home win against the Eagles last week, but a costly one losing Polamalu again along with Woodley, and a team often labeled as being "old" has to go on the road on a short week.  The Titans are one of the league's worst teams right now, especially without Locker at QB.  Tennessee ranks 25th against the pass and 28th against the run, and is also 30th in rushing offense.  The Titans superior special teams could play a role to keeping them in this game. 

Line Movement: Opened -6 with 86% of Public Bets Steelers, but Titans seeing a couple Sharp $ Bets. 

Bet Trends: Steelers are 11-5 ATS last 16 following an ATS loss, but 0-6 ATS last 6 road games.  Titans are 4-0 ATS last 4 Thursday games, but 1-7-1 ATS last 9 games overall.  The underdog is 6-2 ATS last 8 meetings between these teams, while Titans are 4-8 ATS last 12 games versus the Steelers.   

The Pick: Titans +7 (Offered at 5 Dimes) @ 1 Unit

Predicted Score: Steelers 24 / Titans 20

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