Game: Arizona
Cardinals -1.5 at St. Louis Rams, 8:20pm on 10-4-12
Analysis: The surprising 4-0 Cardinals head to St. Louis to
face the Rams who are 2-0 at home this season.
The Cardinals must establish a more balanced offense and find a ground
game because Kolb was sacked 8 times last week and could struggle in a loud
stadium where the D-line has the advantage getting off the ball. The Rams have also been opportunistic ranking
2nd in the league with 8 interceptions.
The Cardinals defense ranks 3rd in points allowed, 4th against the pass,
and 2nd against the run. The Rams have the
advantage playing at home on a short week of rest, although thus far home/away
win-loss is 2-2 for Thursday night games.
At 4-0 the Cardinals do have problems with the lack of running game and
then the Dolphins threw for 431 yards last week, and the Rams can spread the
ball around in similar fashion.
Line Movement: Opened
-2.5 and Down to 0 at Some Books; 68% of Public Betting Cardinals; Smart $
Mainly Focused on Rams
Bet Trends:
Cardinals are 6-0 ATS last 6 games vs. NFC opponents and 4-1 ATS last 5 overall. Rams are 3-0-1 ATS last 4 games at home and
1-6 ATS last 7 games following a win.
Cardinals are 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings and 6-2 ATS last 8 games in St
Louis, and the favorite is 4-1 ATS last 5 meetings. The Under is 7-1 in the last 8 matchups.
The Pick:
Cardinals -1.5 @ 1 Unit
Predicted Score: Cardinals 20 / Rams 16
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