Game: Chiefs
+8.5 at Chargers, O/U 42.5, 8:20pm on 11-1
Analysis: The Chiefs may be the worst team in the NFL with no
QB, a lousy coach, and a lack of playmakers.
They lost by 17 to San Diego at home in September and have not exactly
made progress, but in a short week may benefit from sticking to the basics,
running the ball, rushing the passer, and tackling, each of which I would argue
they have the advantage against the Chargers, who are also terrible with a
lousy coach. San Diego was held to 6
points by the Browns last week and you can't just blame the weather, now losing
4 of 5 and looking to spiral to the point where Norv Turner is finally fired. If the Chiefs keep things simple they can
easily escape with a win, so I like them to at least cover.
Line Movement: Opened
-8.5 and 65% of Public Bets San Diego with Small Sharp $ on KC
Bet Trends: Chiefs
are 5-2 ATS last 7 Thursday games, but 3-8 ATS last 11 vs. the AFC. Chargers are 1-4 ATS last 5 overall, but 7-2
ATS last 9 vs. AFC teams.
The Pick: Chiefs
+8.5 @ 2 Units
Predicted Score: Chargers 23 / Chiefs 17
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