Wednesday, December 12, 2012

NFL Week 15 Thursday Night Game Preview/Pick


Game: Bengals -3 at Eagles, O/U 45.5, 8:20pm on 12-13

Analysis: Bengals had their 4 game win streak snapped vs. Dallas last week and now heads on the road for another NFC East opponent.  The Eagles snapped an 8 game losing streak at Tampa Bay with a comeback performance, but likely still without Vick, McCoy, and Jackson.  The Eagles O-Line has had a lot of issues this year and the Bengals have one of the league's best pass rushes.  The Bengals offense should have no problems against an Eagles D that has blown a lot of coverage and will not have an answer for AJ Green who disappeared in last week's 2nd half. The Bengals aggressive secondary should grab a few INT's off Foles as well.

Line Movement: Opened -3 and 73% of Public Bets Bengals Pushing Line to 4 at Some Books

Bet Trends: Bengals are 4-1 ATS last 5 road games and 9-4-2 ATS last 15 vs. losing record teams.  Eagles are 4-1 ATS last 5 Thursday Night games, 7-19-1 ATS last 27 home games and 3-9-1 ATS last 13 overall.

The Pick: Bengals -3.5 @ 3 Units

Predicted Score: Bengals 27 / Eagles 20

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