Week 13 Thursday Night NFL Preview and Pick

Game: Denver Broncos -10.5 @ Oakland Raiders, O/U 48, 8:20pm on 12-6

Analysis: The Raiders have lost 5 straight and were without their Head Coach all week, but will get back McFadden this week, but the defense still missing its leader in Seymour.  Oakland lost to Denver 37-6 earlier this season and had no answer for Manning and the Broncos passing game.  Denver has won 7 straight and clinched the AFC West, mostly close games along the way.  The defense has great pass rushers in Dumervil and Miller that will give the Raiders issues, especially at Right Tackle.  Denver's offense is missing some balance with the loss of McGahee. 

Line Movement: Opened -10 and 71% of Public Bets on Broncos

Bet Trends: Broncos are 12-26-1 ATS vs. teams with losing records and 1-5 ATS last 6 after rushing for < 90 yards in prior game.  Raiders are 11-5 ATS last 16 vs. AFC West teams, but 1-4 ATS last 5 Thursday games, 0-5 ATS last 5 overall, and 3-14 ATS last 17 games in week 14.  Broncos are 4-9 ATS last 13 meetings and Underdog is 9-4 ATS, but Road Team is 7-2 ATS last 9 meetings.  Over is 5-1 last 6 meetings and 4-1 last 5 in Oakland.  Denver is 0-11 ATS when 8+ point favorites and Raiders are 8-2 ATS when 8+ point underdogs.

The Pick: Oakland +10.5 @ 1 Unit (Stat Play - Tease to +17 and Parlay with Tease Under to 55 a Way to Play)

Predicted Score: Denver 30 / Oakland 23